Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.187997 15.099650 17.138219 19.468029 22.050895 24.820463 28.008584
2025-11-02 10.215822 12.737788 15.610982 19.104183 23.212664 27.867114 33.513308
2025-11-09 8.348453 11.129234 14.463352 18.710530 23.928148 30.078002 37.819634
2025-11-16 7.017782 9.918323 13.552891 18.369351 24.504443 31.973665 41.660658
2025-11-23 5.900723 8.808558 12.604201 17.818237 24.678609 33.273013 44.712716
2025-11-30 5.238307 8.207731 12.225025 17.917406 25.616608 35.496290 48.933867
2025-12-07 4.675821 7.671406 11.862981 17.975834 26.455476 37.576178 52.998020
2025-12-14 4.237783 7.259791 11.623069 18.156956 27.431250 39.834679 57.335595
2025-12-21 3.817196 6.824365 11.301601 18.179920 28.160037 41.757576 61.258199
2025-12-28 3.566398 6.623048 11.299120 18.645340 29.508958 44.547919 66.416939
2026-01-04 3.306985 6.378376 11.204750 18.954797 30.628842 47.039368 71.221461
2026-01-11 3.023544 6.062630 10.970369 19.026570 31.387091 49.028470 75.365961
2026-01-18 2.649281 5.555152 10.396280 18.543235 31.302839 49.823262 77.874062
2026-01-25 2.345265 5.137832 9.933009 18.197415 31.396389 50.861147 80.742232
2026-02-01 2.071486 4.743593 9.473088 17.819222 31.406857 51.757050 83.407625
2026-02-08 1.837501 4.396913 9.063978 17.491427 31.467369 52.711016 86.163531
2026-02-15 1.600630 4.014678 8.557986 16.962024 31.169247 53.096242 88.066543
2026-02-22 1.475158 3.845776 8.423563 17.057277 31.878194 55.030632 92.327466
2026-03-01 1.356482 3.676871 8.274341 17.113401 32.517135 56.866033 96.474689
2026-03-08 1.262621 3.551037 8.195957 17.287385 33.353009 59.025385 101.161214
2026-03-15 1.160025 3.392590 8.040668 17.309445 33.926144 60.777518 105.253260
2026-03-22 1.110354 3.352005 8.115395 17.756587 35.239675 63.741469 111.291688
2026-03-29 1.049044 3.275987 8.111764 18.053936 36.299643 66.319183 116.776569